The Kantar Emor survey revealed that the Reform Party's support increased from 14% to 18%. The reason for this was the expulsion of the Social Democratic Party from the government. Aivar Voog said that this showed the Reform Party in a new light. The future direction of support depends on the new ministers.
Urmet Kook noted that the Reform Party took random supporters from Isamaa. Voog clarified that these voters are not on a fixed ideological path. "They choose the stronger party," said Voog.
Anvar Samost added that the Reform Party regained voters lost by Isamaa. "Perhaps some of them were disappointed with the Reform Party. Now they trust the Reform Party again," said Samost.
Voog said that Reform Party supporters feel economically secure. "For them, the current situation is more or less good," said Voog. According to him, younger voters support the Social Democratic Party more.
Kook asked how the new ministers would affect the Reform Party's support. Voog replied that the Reform Party needs economic experience. "The only option is to bring someone into the government from outside," said Voog.
Samost said that the Reform Party has already taken steps to increase support. "They are talking about reducing regulations and cutting bureaucracy. This creates a difficult situation for Isamaa," said Samost.
Speaking about Eesti 200's low support, Samost said it would have been better for them to stay out of the government. "Now they are a small partner in the Reform Party's government. Their support is sixfold," said Samost. Voog added that Eesti 200 can only increase its support in opposition.
Samost believed that local elections are very important for Eesti 200. "This puts the party's future in question," he said.
Kook pointed out that the Center Party's support has increased from 10% to 16%. "This is supported more by Russian-speaking voters," said Kook. Samost added that the Center Party must also win Estonian voters.
In Kook's opinion, the Center Party will win the elections in Tallinn, but not by a large margin. "They have to form a coalition," said Kook.
The broadcast also discussed the 8% support for the Conservative People's Party. Voog said that the current situation provides opportunities for new parties. Samost believed that the Conservatives could worry the Reform Party. Kook noted that the strength of the Conservatives lies in the people who are in the party.