15.Juuli 2025

Kaju: president Trump on mõistnud, et heaga ei saa Venemaa vastu

Kaju: President Trump has realized that goodwill alone is not enough against Russia

President Trump teatas, et ta on Venemaas pettunud. Ta lubas . Andreas Kaju ütles, et Ameerika administratsioonis on toimunud muutus. Nüüd on mõistetud, et ainuüksi hea tahte avaldustega Venemaad ja Ukrainat rahu poole ei vii.

Kokku on lepitud mehhanismis, kuidas NATO liikmesriigid hakkavad ostma Ameerikalt raskerelvastust. See aitab tagada Ukraina kaitset. See on muutus, sest jaanuarist alates on Ameerika põhiline pingutus olnud suunatud hea tahte avaldustega venelaste laua taha saamisele. Lootus oli, et see viib kiiresti vaherahuni. Seda pole juhtunud.

Kaju ütles, et Ameerikas on Trumpi lähiringkonnas kasvanud inimeste arv, kes süüdistavad Vene administratsiooni ja Putinit Trumpi lollitamises. Trump ise on ka mõne selle kohta välja öelnud. Elu näitab, kas see otsus on pikaajalisem poliitikamuutus või lihtsalt samm, et venelasi läbirääkimistelaua taha tuua.

Kaju ei usu, et relvade saatmine Euroopasse oleks Trumpi jaoks ainuüksi viis raha teenida. Viimaste päevade kommunikatsioonis ei räägita rahateenimisest. Põhiline on see, et Putiniga ei ole võimalik teistmoodi läbi rääkida. On vaja tegeleda Ukraina relvastamisega. ja -elanikkonda, mis põhjustab Ameerika käitumises muutusi.

Ukraina tsiviilelanikkonna suhtes ei ole esimene kord, kui sõjasündmused tema arvamust mõjutavad. Süüria režiimi tegevus oma tsiviilelanikkonna vastu on Trumpi liigutanud. Tsiviilelanike kannatused on aidanud kaasa Ameerika kursimuutusele.

Kaju ütles, et Ameerika presidentidel on tavaks kaastunne. Venelastega on kõige rohkem läbi aegade kohtunud Reagan. oli sellele vastu, sest nad ei usaldanud B-kategooria näitlejat suurel laval. Venelased on professionaalsed läbirääkijad.

Putini olemus ei ole ameeriklastele üllatus. Prooviti lahendada sõda diplomaatiliselt. Positiivse läbirääkimisruumiga ei saavutata midagi. Trump on saatnud oma erisaadiku Witkoffi lubadusi jagama, aga sellest pole kasu olnud. Venelased ei ole hea tahte avaldusi vastu jagand. President , et heaga ei saa.

Kaju usub, et Witkoffi on kasutatud Venemaal . Läbirääkimiste maatriks venelastega ja ukrainlastega on olnud segane. Witkoffi roll on olnud proovida aru saada, kas läbirääkimine on võimalik.

Kaju ütles, et USA on lõpuks mõistnud, et – president Putin. Kui tal ei ole huvi läbi rääkida, siis ta ei räägi. Ameeriklased teavad täna seda, mida Eestis teame ammu – .

President Trump announced that he is disappointed in Russia. He promised new military equipment to Ukraine. U.S. policy expert Andreas Kaju said that there has been a shift in the American administration. Now it is understood that goodwill statements alone will not lead Russia and Ukraine toward peace.

A mechanism has been agreed upon where NATO member states will start purchasing heavy weapons from the U.S. This will help ensure Ukraine's defense. This is a change, as since January, America's main effort has been directed at getting Russians to the negotiation table through goodwill statements. The hope was that this would quickly lead to a ceasefire. That has not happened.

Kaju said that in America, the number of people in Trump's inner circle who accuse the Russian administration and Putin of deceiving Trump has grown. Trump himself has also spoken out about some of this. Life will show whether this decision is a longer-term policy shift or just a step to bring Russians to the negotiation table.

Kaju does not believe that sending weapons to Europe is solely a way for Trump to make money. Recent communications have not mentioned making money. The main point is that it is impossible to negotiate with Putin otherwise. There is a need to focus on arming Ukraine. Putin is attacking civilian infrastructure and populations, which is causing changes in America's behavior.

Trump's sentimentality toward Ukraine's civilian population is not the first instance where war events have influenced his opinion. The Syrian regime's actions against its civilian population have moved Trump. The suffering of civilians has contributed to America's policy shifts.

Kaju said that U.S. presidents are accustomed to sympathy. Among Americans, Reagan had the most encounters with Russians. The security apparatus around Reagan was against it because they did not trust a B-list actor on the big stage. Russians are professional negotiators.

Putin's nature is no surprise to Americans. Attempts were made to resolve the war diplomatically. A positive negotiation space achieves nothing. Trump has sent his special envoy Witkoff to distribute promises, but it has not been useful. Russians have not reciprocated goodwill statements. President Trump has understood that goodwill alone is not enough.

Kaju believes that Witkoff has been used to test the waters in Russia. The negotiation matrix with Russians and Ukrainians has been messy. Witkoff's role has been to try to understand if negotiations are possible.

Kaju said that the U.S. has finally realized that in Russia, one person decides—President Putin. If he is not interested in talking, he will not talk. Americans now know what Estonia has known for a long time—in the Russian Federation, one person decides.