Rainer Saks is a security expert. He says that Russia cannot currently start a war with NATO. Russia does not have enough resources. All of Russia's forces are directed at Ukraine.
In the West, there is talk that Russia may carry out provocations. For example, in Poland or the Baltic states. But Saks says this is very unlikely. Russia is currently unable to start a major war.
Saks says that Russia is waging an information war every day. For example, they send drones into the airspace of other countries. This is a continuous process.
Russia exploits the weaknesses of other countries. If a country does not protect its information space, Russia can exert influence there. Western countries find it difficult to defend their information security.
Russia also carries out other hybrid operations. For example, the bombing of the Estonian interior minister's car or the explosion at an ammunition depot in the Czech Republic. But Russia is not currently waging a major war.
Russia's situation has worsened. Ukraine is attacking Russian oil refineries. This is causing major problems for Russia. Oil refineries are difficult to repair. If more are destroyed, a major deficit will arise.
Russia's only advantage is ballistic missiles. Ukraine does not have enough air defense against them. But otherwise, Russia's situation is bad. They cannot start a new war now.