Aivar Voog said that the May ratings show that the balance of power between parties is similar to the pre-government change period. The position of the Center Party has improved, but the position of the Social Democrats is not as good as in January. The support proportions of Isamaa and the Reform Party have returned to pre-government change levels.
Indrek Kiisler noted that the news is mixed for the Social Democrats. Falling into opposition means a drop in ratings because they are less visible. The good news is that the rating numbers have remained the same and there has been no significant decline.
Among non-Estonian speaking residents, the recognition of the Center Party chairman Mihhail Kõlvart is over 90 percent. Kõlvart's trustworthiness among non-Estonian speaking people is over 60 percent. Other politicians have much lower trustworthiness.
In the upcoming autumn local government elections, the Center Party is likely to win, but not an absolute majority. Voter turnout has been low among non-Estonian voters, but now it seems that it will be high.
In Tallinn, it can be expected that the electoral threshold will be crossed by the Center Party, the Reform Party, Isamaa, the Social Democrats, EKRE, and the Conservative People's Party. Eesti 200, with four percent support, is also close to the threshold.
The Center Party's million-euro debt makes organizing an election campaign difficult. We are likely to see more social media and street campaigns. There may also be strange attempts to get into the media.
The decline in EKRE's support is related to Isamaa, which is taking votes away from them. Women are sensitive to scandals, but scandals do not affect male voters' preferences as strongly. The US presidential change no longer brings additional support to EKRE.