The negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul yielded no results. The Kremlin does not want peace now. Vare says: "Russia wants to launch an offensive before summer. Then they will see further."
Part of the offensive has already begun. Vare says that US aid to Ukraine will end in June. No new aid is planned. This means that Ukraine will be left without assistance.
Ukraine destroyed several Russian aircraft in the operation "Spider Web". It caused significant damage, but Russia continues to use its air force. Vare says: "Opportunities are decreasing, but the attacks continue."
Russia plans to retaliate against Ukraine. Vare says: "Russia has always given a strong response. Experts believe it will come within 2 weeks." Ukraine believes that Russia is preparing for a major attack.
Vare says that Russia will find new ways to attack. For example, with ballistic missiles. Ukraine's operation caused significant damage to Russia. This damage will be seen later.
Russia always overreacts. Vare says: "It's a madhouse going on there." Everyone there has to justify their work.